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Updating uncertainty with evidence through probabilistic models.
Foundation
How Does My Dog Know We’re About to Go for a Walk? From the Leash at the Door to a Sudden Stock Move
A dog's evening walk routine and a hypothetical Samsung Electronics price move explain priors, likelihoods, posteriors, sequential updating, and Bayesian statistics.
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Reading prices and expectations around Samsung's July 2026 guidance
Explore Samsung's pre-announcement price over different windows, compare peers, and separate a quarterly profit surprise from a one-day stock return.
Read article ↗Samsung earnings, a Fed cut, and CPI surprises lead to a Bayesian view of how investors update beliefs, place orders, and shape prices.
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